Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Banking Stocks Trading Near Major Resistance
How a Common Man Become a Stock Analyst : Might be a true Story
Market is like gambling , i have seen so many people making money and then loosing their everything in sharemarket.
2. Common man (excited to invest some Thousands after seeing his friend/ neighbour making money in bull run ):
He wants to know where to invest to gain fast money without knowing how to invest , so he goes from person to person to take advice n gets confused more than before ....as he gets the first n best advice ie stay away from market.
3. Now he calls himself invester :
Invest some money in some shares adviced by his friend / broker , he will be happy till the date the stock is growing n gets deppresed when the stock starts some downward movement , after some loss he enters into new role trader
4. Trader (still knows nothing of market):
To cover his losses he puts some more money n starts intra day trading on tips issued by his friend / broker n hence calls himself trader. Though he gets some amount sucess in this field initially gets carried away makes more losses
5. Technical trader :
Now he starts studing mkt movements himself , but same problem again . without proper technical knowledge tries to find fast gains and gradually fails
6. Analyst :
Now he is one of the experienced people in market , newbees come to him for advice n without any hesitance n loads of confidence he starts guiding them in market , this is the best role that suits him
Related Topics :
Common Investors Thought
Confusion With Nifty Direction Solved - We are Moving Down !!!
Sunday, July 27, 2008
Will Reliance save the fellow Nifty?
Thursday, July 24, 2008
How Inflation affects Exchange rate in India
Its time to speak about inflation as yesterday's inflation data eases little bit from
its all time peak 11.91% to 11.89% during the week ended july 12,marginally
lower than the previous week annual rise.
There is a direct link between exchange rate and inflation. Assume
that suppose exchange rate decreases from Rs 43/dollar to 40/dollar.
Then the price of the imported product that cost $1000 cost us only Rs
40,000 rather than paying 43,000. So Rs 3000 or nearly 7.5% of your
money got saved if rupee appreciates. Very simply, rupee appreciation
will combat rising inflation.
But rupee appreciation will definately affects Indian exporters
sentiment, Because all the transactions are done via exchange rates
and done with respect to dollar basis. So it means their revenue i.e
the foreign payments made to them will sink 7.5%. But our finance
minister is definately tell you that low and stable inflation is more
important than exporters worries . So RBI has focused on the
exchange rates and has been unconcerned about the inflationary
consequences of these policies. So RBI will use exchance rate as a
tool to moderate inflation.
Also reducing crude oil factors rupee appreciation which is evident
from recent appreciation from 43.30/dollar to 41.96/dollar in days due
to sudden decline in crude oil prices. And also rising factors rising
inflation and vice versa. So crude oil is one of the dependent factor
related to inflation and exchange rates.
Regards,
Rajandran
Author - Marketcalls
Article composed and posted via my Sony Ericsson mobile phone - K550i
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
What Indicators Tell About Nifty
Nifty CMP : 4476
Today we can some more upside towards 4500-4567. I tbe chart, we can see strong resistance at 4550 levels and also currently nifty is in oversold zone , so profit-booking cannot be ruled out at higher levels. On the lower side, 4240 will act strong support zone.
Major Indicators
Average Directional Index ADX: 37 - (Bullish)
5 day RSI: 83 (overbought)
Intraday strategy: Buy on declines target R1-R2.
Regards,
Rajandran R
Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Unitech - AT&T Deal will it get through?
Sunday, July 20, 2008
Futures and Options Strategy in Reliance Communications
Click the above charts to get Enlarged
| Instrument | Symbol | Date | Expiry | Close | No. of contracts | Turnover in lacs | Open Int | Change in OI |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 1-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 396.55 | 35278 | 51445.67 | 14575400 | 175000 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 2-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 419.25 | 33991 | 48919.65 | 15659700 | 1084300 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 3-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 389.8 | 20338 | 28136.76 | 15124900 | -534800 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 4-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 437 | 28930 | 42511.84 | 14255150 | -869750 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 7-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 420.5 | 25027 | 38336.79 | 14741300 | 486150 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 8-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 416.1 | 19044 | 27774.42 | 15180550 | 439250 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 9-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 443.25 | 26536 | 41183.26 | 15338400 | 157850 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 10-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 447.25 | 15395 | 23943.23 | 15201900 | -136500 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 11-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 438.75 | 17010 | 26175.22 | 14721000 | -480900 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 14-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 440.25 | 16576 | 25705.37 | 15130150 | 409150 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 15-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 406.4 | 16704 | 24276.69 | 15122800 | -7350 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 16-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 401.3 | 19878 | 28100.79 | 15004850 | -117950 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 17-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 419.5 | 17285 | 24983.22 | 14563500 | -441350 |
| FUTSTK | RCOM | 18-Jul-08 | 31-Jul-08 | 436.95 | 19226 | 28834.86 | 14023450 | -540050 |
Best to watch this counter if you want to learn some short selling stuff
Saturday, July 19, 2008
Everest Kanto Cylinders : A Multibagger in Your Portfolio
Everest Kanto Cylinder (EKC) is a leader in the industrial and CNG cylinders manufacturing business in India. It commands an overall market share of 85% in CNG cylinder industry & is well placed to tap the growing market for environment-friendly Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) applications.
Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) offers a feasible alternative to petroleum fuels in vehicles. CNG is a source of mobile-energy, which can be easily supplied on a mass scale at affordable prices. Due to its inherent clean properties, the substitution of petrol & diesel by CNG is advantageous in not only enhancing energy security but also in cutting harmful GHG emissions.
Roughly 800,000 vehicles in Pakistan run on compressed natural gas (CNG). Each needs a specialised cylinder where the CNG is stored under high pressure. And, an Indian company — Everest Kanto Cylinders — is controlling 65 per cent of this market.The company makes CNG cylinders in India and Dubai and sells them in Malaysia, Thailand, several Gulf countries and CIS nations, besides Pakistan.
Everest Kanto's story turned out differently because its founder chairman and managing director P.K. Khurana spotted a good opportunity in South America. Here, Brazil and Argentina were using CNG as a low-cost, environment-friendly fuel for automobiles, and had approximately 10,00,000 CNG vehicles on their roads. Wondering whether CNG would catch on in India as well, Khurana sent study teams to South America and the US. Initial research convinced him that this would be a good business opportunity in India.
Leading cylinder manufacturer Everest Kanto (plans to invest Rs 1.5-1.75 billion on capacity expansion across its plants in US, Dubai and India.The company expects to clock 35% increase in volumes and 50% increase in earnings in the current fiscal. Also company`s wholly owned subsidiary in China has successfully completed the trial production phase and commercial production has been already started.
EKC is ramping up its capacity to enhance its market share and is also planning to exploit other markets such as Iran and China, where a well timed capacity expansion would drive a ~36.8% EPS CAGR over FY08-FY10E.
Karuturi Gloabl : Investors Stock Pick
Karuturi now has 325 hectares under cultivation, of which 100 are in Ethiopia, 185 in Kenya and 40 in India. The output in Ethiopia has grown by 100 per cent since the acquisition, and by December 2009, Karuturi Global will have 300 hectares in the country, making it thrice as big as the second-largest rose producer.
Nifty Trading Notes on 18th July,2008
Delisting in Ingersoll Rand ?
Container Corporation of India (CCI) : Medium term Buy
The Company has posted a net profit of Rs 2018.336 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2008 as compared to Rs 1870.923 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2007. Total Income has increased from Rs 8134.720 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2007 to Rs 8681.145 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2008.
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Pullback and Dropdown in Aban Offshore
Sunday, July 13, 2008
Intraday Swing Trading Example in Nifty
The Traders Action Zone (TAZ) is a buy and sell zone on a chart that swing traders can use to identify possible reversals in a stock.This is just simply "area" that we look at to see if a stock that is in a strong uptrend, after pulling back to this area, will likely reverse.
Saturday, July 12, 2008
Short Wipro for 350 Target
Short Notes to Swing Trading(Trading Action Zone)
On the chart above you can also see the traders action zone which is the area in between the 10 sma and 30 ema. This is where you, as a swing trader look for reversals back to the upside when going long and reversals to the downside when shorting stocks. I've drawn arrows on the chart to show where you get buy signals and short signals to enter a stock.
Friday, July 11, 2008
Nifty Notes for 11th July 2008
Avoid trading near Fibo level - 4214 and day high is 4215.5
If you are a clever trader, what you should do is, you do not enter either long or short at 38.2% retracement,(Though all parameters allows you to do ) but instead wait for the perfect reversal happening at 38.2% retracemnt.
And the sell signal comes after the announcement of BAD IIP no's.
Also if u notice the 200Min MA i.e 4135 act as a intraday support level.
Which was tested first and then breaks with a hard black candle. If 200 min MA
breaks then huge carnage... ie Nifty moved from 4135 to 4015.
You gained = 4135-4015 = 120pts
Total Intraday profit = 120x50= Rs 6000/Lot
Wednesday, July 9, 2008
Break out in Reliance Capital from Downtrend
Tuesday, July 8, 2008
Monday, July 7, 2008
Notes for Nifty Intraday
Sunday, July 6, 2008
Pullback is possible in Aban Offshore
A common Investor's Thought
2)4250- got some confidence and try investing small
3)4550- got more overconfidence with the market and try investing more
4)4250- hopes market will go up any way
5)4000- Book his/her loss and waiting for the market to get normal
6)3600- advise his/her souroundings that market may go down further.
And the cycle continues.
Saturday, July 5, 2008
Reliance Capital : Will Downtend continue?
Click the Charts to get Enlarged
Comparision - (EOD Charts Updated Daily Automaticaly)
How to take Multiple Trades in Nifty Intraday
Tuesday, July 1, 2008
A Stock Market Sucide Game for Investors
Note: This game is presented here to show the exact scenario of investors. Not to hurt anyone.
Regards,
Rajandran R
Three Black Crows and Red Bloods
50% of fibonnaci retracement levels from Nifty's all time peak.
So to keep it short, anywhere around 3500 is possible for some time, till then keep you patience. If you are not able to keep your patience then go for systematic investment in indian markets,say 10% of investment for the next 10 days. Accumulate your favorite stocks in a systematic manner is a more intellient manner than buying stocks in one single go.Those who fear to buy stocks in this bear markets,i like to say that " You tried buying at 6000 Nifty levels then what is the harm to try at 3600-3900 levels". Almost all the stock prices are available at dead cheap prices which you never dreamt before. And it is wise to purschase low P/E stocks available at attractice price.





























